The Stockdale Paradox

How do you continue to believe you will prevail while confronting the brutal facts of reality? Stockdale, imprisoned for 6 years during the Vietnam War, never lost faith in the end of his story – he believed he would get out and turn the experience into a defining event. Which he did.

Reading tea leaves

Can I find out whether we will go to Level 3 tomorrow by reading my tea leaves? Tasseography was popular in the 1800s. However, my bent is more scientific so I will look at COVID case heat maps.